Rajat

Rajat

There Are 868 Fewer Places to Vote in 2016 Because the Supreme Court Gutted the Voting Rights Act

When Aracely Calderon, a naturalized US citizen from Guatemala, went to vote in downtown Phoenix just before the polls closed in Arizona's March 22 presidential primary, there were more than 700 people in a line stretching four city blocks. She waited in line for five hours, becoming the last voter in the state to cast a ballot at 12:12 am.

No matter who you vote for, why would a democratic system not want a higher voter participation by having more 1) places to vote 2) early voting options and 3) election monitors?

Adam Pryor

Adam Pryor And not to talk of purged voter rolls and voter intimidation. http://www.democracynow.org/2016/11/7/this_is_voting_in_2016_armed

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TheHobMob

TheHobMob

The map is set for 2016 initiatives to #RaiseTheWage - The Fairness Project

Corporate interests tried to throw a wrench in Arizona Healthy Working Families' campaign to raise the wage and pass paid sick leave. But yesterday, the Arizona Supreme Court had the final word: The initiative is officially headed for the ballot! This isn't just a win for Arizona - it's the moment we've been waiting for ...

Folks in "Arizona, Colorado, Maine, and Washington gathered almost a million signatures from supporters all over their states so that working families can flex their power at the ballot box. In total, over 2.1 million working Americans would be impacted by wage hikes. In Arizona and Washington, over 1.9 million working Americans would also be provided with paid sick leave to care for themselves or a sick family member."

Rajat

Rajat

Here is how the democratic system fails and often does not reflect the views of a vast majority of ordinary good people. People who quib do not vote and a very small percentage of the population sways the entire system.

- 324 million ..the number of people in US
-103 million...ineligible, children, ineligible or felons
-88 million adults simply do not vote
-73 million additionally didn't vote in primaries but expected to vote eventually
-60 million ... remaining people who vote for Republicans and Democrats (@ 30 million a piece.)or about 18% of the entire population.
- Once you factor out the votes for other candidates Trump and Clinton actually got only about 9% of the vote of the entire population

What happened in the Brexit vote rings an eerie bell on our forthcoming election.

Source of estimates: NYT study dated August 8/1/2016 http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/08/01/us/elections/nine-percent-of-america-selected-trump-and-clinton.html

Emma Zahren-Newman

Emma Zahren-Newman wow-- shocking-- so what do you say: representative government or democratic government?

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Rajat

Rajat "Benjamin Franklin was asked what kind of government the framers had produced. A republic if you can keep it, he replied. " http://ncsl.typepad.com/the_thicket/2011/09/republic-or-representative-democracy.html

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Jeff Gordan

Jeff Gordan

Bernie Sanders: Democrats Need to Wake Up

Surprise, surprise. Workers in Britain, many of whom have seen a decline in their standard of living while the very rich in their country have become much richer, have turned their backs on the European Union and a globalized economy that is failing them and their children.


"Let’s be clear. The global economy is not working for the majority of people in our country and the world. This is an economic model developed by the economic elite to benefit the economic elite. We need real change.

The notion that Donald Trump could benefit from the same forces that gave the Leave proponents a majority in Britain should sound an alarm for the Democratic Party in the United States. Millions of American voters, like the Leave supporters, are understandably angry and frustrated by the economic forces that are destroying the middle class.


In the last 15 years, nearly 60,000 factories in this country have closed, and more than 4.8 million well-paid manufacturing jobs have disappeared.

Despite major increases in productivity, the median male worker in America today is making $726 dollars less than he did in 1973, while the median female worker is making $1,154 less than she did in 2007, after adjusting for inflation.

Meanwhile, in our country the top one-tenth of 1 percent now owns almost as much wealth as the bottom 90 percent. Fifty-eight percent of all new income is going to the top 1 percent. Wall Street and billionaires, through their “super PACs,” are able to buy elections."

Adam Pryor

Adam Pryor

5 Reasons Why Trump Will Win | MICHAEL MOORE

Friends: I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but I gave it to you straight last summer when I told you that Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee for president. And now I have even more awful, depressing news for you: Donald J.

Michael Moore opines on Trump's chances.

Jeff Gordan

Jeff Gordan

The age factor and rising nationalism

A specter is haunting the modern world yet again-the specter of nationalism. From Brexit to electoral cycles in Europe and the United States, the "nation" is reasserting itself as the primary unit of economic, social, and political realms. The tide has changed against globalism rather unexpectedly.

"Why do nationalist arguments tend to resonate with old people? Take the recent case of Brexit. Only a quarter of youth (ages 18-24) voted for the “leave” camp. In comparison, six out of ten old people (ages 65+) wanted to leave. The youth were quick to announce the stark contrast in social media and clarify their position! So, what is it that the old know about globalization that the young fail to see?"

Ted Tyler

Ted Tyler

Food, Farming & the 2016 Election: A Conversation with Marion Nestle - Modern Farmer

Amid a surreal, at times explosive, election season, food and farming have not been the hot-button topics animating political debates. In fact, they seem to be way down on the agenda of the presidential candidates, if they are mentioned at all.

"Marion Nestle: .... that the food movement isn’t powerful enough to make its voice heard. And although from where I sit the food movement is huge and encompasses vast numbers of people all over the country who are concerned about all kinds of issues around food, they are not organized in any way that is politically noticeable."

Mason Clark

Mason Clark

Is Donald Trump right when he claims that China hurts US workers?

China recently surpassed the United States as the country with the largest share of world trade in goods - see Figure 1. This boom in trade with China has led to much concern about the losers from rising import competition in manufacturing.

"Important policy questions. The first point is that even when developed economies face a fierce competitor like China, they also receive many benefits. This implies that any policy aiming to restrict trade in the name of more protection for workers should be reconsidered.

At the same time, the trade shock does generate winners and losers in the labour market. Hence, it may be beneficial to find a way to compensate the people who lose out, and let the adjustment take place without any type of intervention that hinders trade."

Vidushi Sharma

Vidushi Sharma

Why the Clinton America sees isn't the Clinton colleagues know

This is not a profile of Hillary Clinton. It is not a review of her career or an assessment of her campaign. You won't find any shocking revelations on her emails, on Benghazi, on Whitewater, or even on her health care plan.

I've read a lot of articles recently about Hillary, but this is the only one that has emphasized her gift in listening. The author, Ezra Klein, talks about how this trait is the quality that the most people who have experience working with Hillary cite as the one that falls into the "gap."

Rajat

Rajat If she is listening to a divergent set of people and views she certainly should be coming out wiser.

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Emma Zahren-Newman

Emma Zahren-Newman It must be so hard to balance your personal in the office vs tor public image. I'm sure if we went back and forth on an issue among colleagues or friends, it would be much different than if that discrepancy was in front of the entire nation.

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Vidushi Sharma

Vidushi Sharma Agreed- some other articles blame her inability to connect with people with her desire for privacy in her personal life. It's a strange tradeoff. Part of me thinks that that's something you have to be willing to sacrifice to give people transparency about who they have in such a public position.

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Jeff Gordan

Jeff Gordan

Implications of Brexit for Trump and US:

"-Areas with more educated population voted to remain
-Areas with people having fewer passports voted to leave
-Highest leave votes came from unemployed
-Younger people overwhelmingly voted to remain but were outnumbered by other age groups who voted to leave
-Turnout increased with age"

Trump certainly cannot sway most of Bernies supporters since they do not fall into his "catchment demographic ". However, this profile who would also be more unlikely to vote. Where does that leave us?




http://blogs.ft.com/ftdata/2016/06/24/brexit-demographic-divide-eu-referendum-results/

Rajat

Rajat

2016 Election Forecast

Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump

Current probabilities: Hillary 78%, Trump 22%

Lauren McIlroy

Lauren McIlroy

Conservative Christians Grapple With What 'Religious Freedom' Means For Muslims

Religious liberty is a rallying cry for many evangelical voters - and it's been popping up repeatedly throughout this presidential campaign. But in the current political climate, some conservative Christians are struggling with how to apply religious freedom to other faiths - like Islam. Texas Sen.

"Religious freedom is for all of us or it's for none of us," Staver said. "If we want to pick and choose, what's the standard? And if it's only that might makes right, then that means it's a political struggle and whoever is the ruling class at any particular time, they're the ones that have their say."

Never thought about the irony of Trump's fervent support of evangelical Christians and his equally passionate distrust of our Muslim community.

Vidushi Sharma

Vidushi Sharma The presidential race is hard to discuss right now- almost every comment thread I've read online about him devolves quickly into a binary discussion of people accusing him of ignorance and bigotry vs. Hillary of crime and corruption. It surprises me to hear about people I personally know supporting Trump, but I don't think it should.

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Steve Ashokaan

Steve Ashokaan

I side 98% with Hillary Clinton

I just took the 2016 Presidential election quiz and found that I side the most with Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. Who do you side with?

This is a really interesting website to measure what personal political beliefs match up with the candidates. Take the quiz and comment below what your results were! For me: 98% Clinton, 96% Sanders, 92% Stein, 59% Johnson, and... 5% Trump!?!

Rajat

Rajat 88% Hillary, 86% Sanders

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Vidushi Sharma

Vidushi Sharma ^ Is that a closer ratio than you expected?

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Rajat

Rajat Yes. Strangely so

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Steve Ashokaan

Steve Ashokaan How interesting! @Vidushi, did you take the quiz?

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Vidushi Sharma

Vidushi Sharma I did! I got 100% Bernie, 99% Hillary, and 97% Jill Stein, or something like that. It's tricky in cases like this because their stated positions are so similar.

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Vienna Stokes

Vienna Stokes

Why Americans Can't Vote

The state of the nation's underfunded, patchwork election system and obsolete balloting machinery may not arouse voters the way candidates can with charges of rigged elections. But voters in Arizona who lined up for the state's presidential primaries last month learned just how difficult and unfair voting can be even without criminal malfeasance.

"Solutions to obvious voting obstacles aren’t hard to grasp: online registration, early voting, more and better trained poll workers, and modern technology like paper ballots backed by scanners, set to national standards."

I would go further and advocate online voting. It's a disaster that in America, so few people care to vote, and the ones that do are sometimes thwarted in the process.

Emma Zahren-Newman

Emma Zahren-Newman check it out... it works: https://estoniaevoting.org

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Rajat

Rajat The Estonian system has security gaps but I am sure they can be plugged to make the system foolproof.

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Emma Zahren-Newman

Emma Zahren-Newman walking up to a box and punching a hole in a card also has security gaps... i feel its an option that should be very seriously explored-- i would definitely have a better voting record if i could do it right from my computer!

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Emma Zahren-Newman

Emma Zahren-Newman not to mention absentee-ballot complications out the window

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Jeff Gordan

Jeff Gordan Actually we already have biometric and multi-factor authentication that can be used.

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Jeff Gordan

Jeff Gordan

There is nothing safe about democracy

Recently my university has gotten caught up in a brouhaha about a supposed chalk controversy, with many Latino and Muslim students taken aback by "Trump 16" chalkings across campus and, supposedly, the university caving in to their fear and terror over political sloganeering. The dichotomy being portrayed is democracy versus "safe spaces."

"Democracy always teeters on the unknown and it can never tether itself to the certain and true, for these words are meaningless when “what is to be done” is “whatever the people decide.” Yes, this is frightening. No safe space will help. Instead we all need to be more courageous and step up, even if in the short run that means aiming a waterhose at the Trump chalkings, and the next day holding a rally about why you did so."
Noelle Mcafee

Mason Clark

Mason Clark

Zuckerman: Economic trends driving rise of Trump and Sanders

Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump have surged in the Democratic and Republican presidential contests with the support of voters who are angry and anxious about their futures. In New Hampshire primary exit polling, 79% of Democrats and 93% of Republicans said they were worried about the direction of America's economy.

Trump and Sanders just didn't happen. In my view this has been caused by
1)the disenfranchisement of blue and low income workers who don't necessarily posses the skills for an economy that is undergoing profound changes, and
2) By the rise of millennials who don't care for badges and affiliations but are concerned with vested interests standing in their way of achieving their ambitions.

What do you guys think?

Jeff Gordan

Jeff Gordan I think you have a point. This is a fallout of people either getting left behind or having nowhere to go.

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Mason Clark

Mason Clark

It's Really Hard To Get Bernie Sanders 988 More Delegates

After a trio of landslide wins in Washington, Alaska and Hawaii on Saturday - the best single day of his campaign - Bernie Sanders narrowed his delegate deficit with Hillary Clinton. But he still has a lot of work to do.

"I assumed Sanders would narrowly win New York, for instance, even though he’s trailed Clinton by margins ranging from 21 to 48 percentage points in recent polls there. Likewise, I had him winning Pennsylvania and New Jersey, where polls also have him down by 20-something points. And I had Sanders winning by a landslide, 15-point margin in California, even though he’s behind in polls there also."
Fivethirtyeight.com
-I think if Sanders miraculously snatches New York there could be a real momentum shift though.

Mason Clark

Mason Clark

It's Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention

At the prediction market Betfair on Friday morning, bettors put Donald Trump's chances of winning the Republican presidential nomination at 56 percent. That's down a fair bit - Trump had been hovering at about 70 percent after his win in Arizona (and loss in Utah) last week.

"-the markets are now betting on a contested convention.
-Most of the 2,472 delegates with a vote in Cleveland probably aren’t going to like Trump.
-it would be much easier, both procedurally and ethically, to block Trump from getting the nomination if he comes into the convention with 1,100 delegates instead of 1,300."

Fivethirtyeight.com